As an aside, has any program ever suffered as many horrific losses as the team I choose to cheer for? We've even named a number of them. "The Fifth Down", "The Norman Conquest", "The Kick", just to mention a few. But I digress.
At this point, I have no idea which Missouri team is going to show up in Stillwater this weekend to face the Cowboys of Oklahoma State. Will the Tigers be able to forget about the 4th quarter meltdown vs the Huskers last Thursday night in a monsoon? Will Blaine Gabbert have any mobility after suffering a sprained ankle in the first quarter of said meltdown? Are we ever going to be able to establish a running game? I frankly have no idea at this point. I do know that the series has defied logic and the visiting team has won the last 4 times they've played. Does that mean squat for this week? Again, I have no idea. I do know that I'm hoping for a dry field and Blaine to have enough strength in that right ankle to step into his throws.
As it stands now, Okie State opens as a 7 point favorite. My pick on Monday would be for Missouri to cover the spread but fall, 28-24. As I say, I reserve the right to update this on Thursday, pending the
Bryant decision and updates on Gabbert's health. (As of Thursday morning, no word on Bryant. I'll stick with this pick and hope I'm wrong.)In other games around the conference, Iowa State opens as a 3 point favorite hosting the Bears of Baylor. The Cyclones gave a great effort in lawrence last weekend before falling to the jayhawks 41-36. Predicatably, their quarterback missed a wide open receiver in the end zone in the final minute of the game on a 4th and long throw to end their hopes for an upset. Baylor meanwhile was suffering a 33-7 thrashing at the hands of returning quarterback Sam Bradford and the Sooners. I think (or I hope) that too much is being made of the close loss to the beaks. Iowa State generally plays them well, but fails to close. Hell, they were up 20 points at half time in 2008 in Ames only to choke the game away in the 2nd half. Baylor needs 3 more wins to qualify for their first bowl game since the 1994 Alamo Bowl. I think they'd like to do this for their coach and for their injured quarterback, Robert Griffin. I'm picking the Bears to cover and win, 21-17.
kansas travels to Boulder to face the Buffaloes. I mentioned the beaks near death experience last weekend vs the Cyclones. Meanwhile, in Austin, Dan Hawkins made more of a game of it vs the Longhorns, leading at halftime before falling 38-14. Well, they did cover the 32 point spread and helped fuck up my week. At some point I think the Buffs are going to go ahead and mail it in and this may well be the week it happens. ku opens as a 10 point favorite. I think they cover 38-20 and Dan Hawkins future will be determined by whether Colorado will be willing to pony up the money to buy out his contract plus hire a new coach. There is some talent on the team, although I think it's been over rated.
Nebraska is a 10 point favorite at home vs the Pirate and his Red Raiders from Texas Tech. If weather plays no part here, I don't like this match up at all for the hicks. Tech can throw the ball and throw it quick. The Nebraska defensive backfield isn't better simply because they held MU in check last week in a downpour with a one legged quarterback. I'm going with the Techsters to cover and win outright, 41-27. Afterward Bo Pelini will attack Mike Leach at midfield for running up the score which will earn him another trip to kindly old Dr. Toms office next week.
Moving out of conference, Undefeated Iowa travels to Madison to face the Badgers. The Hawkeyes open as a 1 1/2 point favorite. They've done very well in close games so far this year beating Michigan, Arkansas State and Northern Iowa by a total of 6 points. I'm pretty skeptical of those 3 wins however. By far their most impressive win of the year was a 21-10 victory over Penn State on the road. Wisconsin lost their last game 31-13 at the Horseshoe vs Ohio State. I'm going to go with the mild upset here and pick Wisky to hold serve at home, winning 31-28.
USC travels to South Bend to face the fighting Irish and Jimmy Clausen. Last week the Irish held off Washington 37-30. The Huskies handed USC their only loss earlier this year, winning 16-13 at home. However, the Trojans seem to have one inexplicable loss every season and that is probably the one for 2009. I'm going with USC to win and cover on the road, winning 31-17.
A bad start for you.
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