It wasn't just me. A lot of guys apparently had some problems picking against the spread last week. I've enjoyed a guy that goes by MizzouRah's selections over the years, and found him to be pretty good. However, he went 5-8 vs the spread last week. It's also been something of a transition year for folks like OU, Texas and Okie State. Not trying to make excuses. It will probably shake out by the time conference season rolls around, but right now I can't say I have many games I feel confident about this week as far as point spreads go.
One game I shouldn't have to worry about this week is going to be played Saturday night in Columbia, as my Tigers open the home season against might McNeese State. I don't care for games against Division 2 teams such as this, but at least I can sort of, I said SORT OF, see some good that could come of it. The Tigers seemed out of synch last week offensively, and this might be just what the doctor ordered. It also offers a chance to get some backups some game experience that may be needed down the road. But basically, you hope for no injuries and of course, God forbid someone goes out and pulls a North Dakota State on you. I don't expect that and look for the Tigers to jump start the offense as they coast to a 55-6 win. I won't be there to see it since I was fortunate enough to find someone to give my tickets to. That's right, I said give. The most interesting stat of the weekend may well be if the crowd tops 60,000.
The only other game without a line this week is in Manhattan, kansas, where the Wildcats, fresh off a 31-22 upset of UCLA host the Missouri State Bears, coached by former ku head coach, Terry Allen. At least Allen is used to being abused by Bill Snyder from his years at the beak helm. Look for this one to be over by halftime as the Cats get a chance to work in some PT for the backups. Take K State 48-13.
Baylor is at home against Buffalo this week, who also opened the season with a win. The schedule is actually pretty good for the Bears as it is a step up from last weeks opener, but still a contest they should win easily. Baylor opens as a 16 1/2 point favorite in this one. I think Buffalo plays close for a half but winds up falling 34-13.
Colorado, fresh off a convincing 24-3 win against cross state rival Colorado State, travels to Berkeley to face their future Pac 10 rival Cal. The Golden Bears opened with a 52-3 win over UC Davis last week. Cal opens as an 8 1/2 point favorite. I think they do a little better than that and win 37-17 in front of 2 fan bases more known for their fondness of hemp than their passion for football.
In a game with slightly less sophisticated, and stoned fans; Iowa State travels to play the Hawkeyes in Iowa City. Iowa opens as a 13 1/2 point favorite in a game the Cyclones have been able to steal occasionally the last few years. I think this is close for a half but the 'Clones run out of gas and fall 38-21.
The only Big XII team to fall in week one was in Lawrence as the Turner Gill era opened with a thud in a 6-3 loss to North Dakota State. It's only been one game, but it has to be a bit disconcerting to TG that Lew Perkins, the man who hired him suddenly retired one business day after the opening loss. To compound the problem, coming to town is Georgia Tech who opened with a 41-10 win over lightly regarded South Carolina State. The Yellow Jackets are going to run straight at the beaks, who appear to be woefully inadequate on both lines. This one should be over shortly after the national anthem as the Jackets opened as only a 13 point favorite. I expect it to be no where near that close. Tech rolls to a 41-14 win.
In Lincoln, the Big Red fans weren't quite as pleased with their season opener against Western Kentucky as I'd expected. I suppose the pre season hype has made them expect to be winning games 50-0 as they did for years under Tom Osbourne. Yes, they won 49-10 but remember that the Hilltoppers went 0-12 last year and gave up an average of over 40 points per game. This week the Vandals from Idaho come to town fresh off a 45-0 win over some team you've probably never heard of, the North Dakota Fighting Sioux. The fighting Pelini's open as a 28 1/2 point favorite in this one. While I think they win rather comfortably, I expect it to be more along the lines of 38-14. This may ramp up the concern among America's weirdest fan base.
The game of the week, at least in my opinion happens in Norman, as the Sooners, who opened with a surprisingly difficult 31-24 win over Utah State face the Seminoles from Florida State, 59-6 winners over Samford. I knew that the offense might take some time to gel, but I certainly didn't expect OU to give up 24 points last week. Oklahoma opens as a 9 point favorite in this one, and I fully expect them to give FSU their undivided attention. However, I think this one is going down to the wire. I'm looking for OU to win, but fail to cover with the final in the 28-21 range. This is going to be a great game and anytime Florida State plays it gives me the opportunity to include a photo of Jenn Sterger with the Florida State cowgirls.
In the other games of the week, Troy travels to Stillwater as an 11 1/2 point underdog to the Cowboys. I expected Okie Light to take a step back this year, but you can't discount the 65-17 pasting they put on Washington State last week. Troy slows them down a bit, but the Cowboys win and cover 35-14.
Wyoming travels to Austin this week to play the Longhorns, who were held to 34 points last week by Rice. Wyoming had an emotional week as a player was killed in a car wreck. This is another game I believe will be close for a while before Texas, who opens as a 29 point favorite wears down the Cowboys and wins 41-10.
Louisiana Tech travels to College Station as an 18 point dog to the Aggies. I see this as the same formula as UT. It could be close for a half but A&M wears them down in the 2nd half 38-14.
Texas Tech travels to New Mexico to play a Lobo team that fell 72-0 in week one to Oregon, in a game that wasn't as close as the score indicated. Tech opens as a 23 1/2 point favorite. While I think New Mexico may well be the worst team in Division 1, this is a game where the Raiders can do a bit of experimenting. I have Tech covering and winning easily, 48-10.
Good luck to your teams this week. I'll enjoy watching OU/FSU Saturday and begin the countdown for my first trip to Columbia in a week as San Diego State comes to town.
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We're looking better today don't you think cumbreath?
ReplyDeleteI didn't actually get to watch your game, or didn't actually want to, but yes, it was quite an improvement. Cumbreath was a nice touch though. ku valedictorian?
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